Wednesday, September 30, 2020

The Babri Masjid judgement

 At last, the CBI court has given its verdict. It has acquitted the accused who were alleged to be responsible for demolition of the Masjid. The court has been unequivocal in declaring that there was neither any criminal conspiracy nor any planning by the accused for demolition.

It is easy to fault any judgement; it becomes easier if one has not read any part of the judgement. It seems that ignorance about any judgement gives one the inalienable right to denounce it outright. It has now become the habit of  political parties to condemn any inconvenient judgement as repugnant to law. These parties assume they are always on the right side of law and therefore any judicial decision not acceptable to them is prima facie defective.

Sitaram Yechury wonders how the Masjid could self-implode. The verdict clearly says that the demolition was the handiwork of some miscreants who were not the persons who are accused. His trick is to put words in the mouth of the judge and then criticise the judgement for what it does not say. This is not expected of a seasoned leader.

Randeep Singh Surjewala is more understandable. Any judgement that does not criticise his party's antagonists is ipso facto incorrect. He argues that this judgement is contrary to a pronouncement of the Supreme Court. What did the SC say? It said that the demolition was an egregious violation of the rule of law. The present judgement accepts this and goes on to conclude that the culprits are different; they are not the accused in this case.

The judge of the CBI court has delivered a reasoned verdict. Unfortunately, in our present scheme of things , he will get pilloried because he has been reasonable. It is now open season for unfair criticism of any fair judgement.

Sunday, September 27, 2020

Protests against Farm Bills

 The Farm Bills have now received presidential assent and therefore have become Acts. However, the protests against the Bills are continuing. Remarkably there is similarity between these protests and those against Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA). Both protests are anticipatory in nature.

The CAA does not adversely affect the interests of Muslims who are citizens of India. Yet, a canard was spread that the CAA was anti-Muslim. A fear was created that this was a prelude to an attack on Indian Muslims. Similarly, the Farm Bills are not against the interests of farmers. Despite this, the farmers are egged on to protest. An impression is sought to be created that the government will, in future, abandon APMC and MSP. The charade is complete in Bihar where the RJD is protesting 'to safeguard farmers' interests' though Bihar is one of the three states which do not follow the APMC system at all (the others are Kerala and Manipur.)

The Bills widen the scope of marketing for agricultural products. This can be pernicious only in the wild paranoid imagination of politicians. Only 6% of farmers sell their crops at MSP rates. The main benefit of sales in APMC mandi yards is reaped by the arhatiyas or commission agents who play multiple roles as brokers, money lenders, guides etc.

The incomes of arhatiyas will be reduced in case APMC becomes more unpopular. The farmers are in the stranglehold of arhatiyas and therefore easily misguided by them. The stranglehold of these middlemen can be loosened only if the commercial / rural banks come forward to lend more and on time to small and marginal farmers.

Sales in APMC mandis are subject to payment of taxes and commission. Therefore, sales outside the mandis are advantageous to the farmers. One of these Acts facilitates contract farming. A bogey is created that the farmers will become slaves of corporates. On the contrary, the farmers will benefit from R & D of corporates and enhanced certainty of offtake.

It is easy to torpedo any attempts at reform. The politicians will render good service to the nation if they realise that their role is not to oppose any sensible move by the government.

Thursday, September 24, 2020

Religious tolerance

 In the Sudarshan TV case, the Supreme Court has observed, "A message should go out to the media that it cannot make a religious minority the target of its attacks. The dignity of a community is as important as journalistic freedom." This is indeed a sober advice that cannot be faulted except that it seems to excuse targeted attacks on the majority community.

In an intervention application, Sashi Kumar of Asianet has claimed that hate speech in media should not be allowed to be disguised as free speech or religious freedom by majoritarian forces. Do only majoritarian forces indulge in hate speech? 

It is necessary for institutions and individuals to observe neutrality and to abstain from demonising either the majority or a minority. Targeting either is equally nefarious.

Sunday, September 06, 2020

The Hindu's Success

I have been a reader of The Hindu ever since boyhood. The newspaper helped me to cultivate interest in reading. Its editorials and articles have always fascinated me. 

I also have a nostalgic thankfulness to The Hindu. While I was in school, I was awarded the first prize in an elocution competition conducted by the Mylapore Academy. In a way this was unfair because another competitor spoke much better and the audience rightly expected him to get the first prize. That was my expectation too. During my talk, I referred to a leader piece in The Hindu and this obviously tilted the scales in my favour. A sub-editor of The Hindu was a judge in the panel! I felt guilty and pacified myself thinking that that is how life is. (The speaker who must have won the prize is Dr.G.S.Kailash who is presently a chest physician and a popular public speaker on health-related issues.)

So my delight knew no bounds when The Hindu claimed on May 12, 2020 that it is the fastest growing English daily in India. It added 4,61,000 readers nationally in Q4 of the calendar year 2019. This count was 1,03,000 more than what Times of India could achieve. 

However, my delight was deflated when I read what the Social Affairs Editor, G.Sampath has written today. He writes that five qualities are necessary for success in the world. What are they?

1) Hate: The Hindu's hatred for our prime minister is phenomenal.

2) Lie: The daily's false stories about the Rafale purchase cannot be forgotten.

3) Cheating: The newspaper's propensity to ignore anything positive about its bete-noire is well known.

4) Ability to bully the weak: The newspaper bullies and gets bullied too. This is not surprising because the country it admires most is the world's most powerful bully. 

5) Toadying up to the powerful: This is second nature to the newspaper. Till 2014, the daily excelled in this attribute. It bent over backwards during the emergency days when The Indian Express displayed its spine.

Thank you Mr. Sampath for your unintended explanation.

Monday, April 27, 2020

COVID-19 : a terrestrial black hole?

Terrestrial COVID-19 can only be compared to a black hole in space in terms of its mystery. We know they exist, but little else is certain about either. With the recent discoveries made regarding black holes, we may even say that COVID-19 is the more mysterious one.

Where did COVID-19 originate? We need to be thankful that China does not now contest that it originated in China. Initially, the Chinese claimed that it was brought to China by American soldiers.

There is no preventive either as vaccination or as anything else. There is as yet no cure either. Will the virus that causes COVID-19, namely SARS-CoV-2 revisit us seasonally? It is hard to say. We can only say 'it is more likely than unlikely'. However, the devastations caused by the disease are daunting. It is known to have ravaged almost all organs including lungs, kidney and the brain. It has caused strokes among the middle-aged, aggravated DVT (blood clots) among the pregnant and has discoloured the skins of some patients. The discolouration has occurred particularly in China. Like everything else about the opaque nation, we will never know whether the discolouration was caused by the virus or the Chinese treatment.

Certain data presented by The Economist are revealing. Air pollution kills 1.2 million Indians every year. Lockdown enforced in many parts of India has helped to clear air pollution substantially though this was not the objective. So, many lives have been saved which otherwise might have succumbed to air pollution. NASA reports that Indian atmosphere now is the cleanest for the past 20 years. (NASA started scanning our atmosphere only 20 years ago.)

The Economist also reports that rapes in Delhi have reduced by 83% in the aftermath of lockdown. Deaths caused by vehicle accidents in the country are down by 20,000 per month.

Different countries have fared differently in their encounters with the pandemic. Reasons are yet to be established beyond doubt. It is useful to compare Spain and Portugal which are neighbours with a border extending to about 1,200 km. Spain's experience has been a disaster. Portugal is comparatively unscathed. The differences are stark. Till date, Portugal has lost 800 lives to COVID-19 compared to 22,000 in Spain. That is, Portugal's loss of lives is 3.6% of Spain's. Population-wise, Portugal is 21.3% of Spain (10 mn vs 47 mn). Portugal's mortality rate from the disease is 3% against 10% for Spain.

What accounts for so much contrast between two neighbours ? Some epidemiologists argue that BCG vaccination is the differentiator. Portugal implements BCG vax for its children unlike Spain. America does not; India does. Is there some lesson here?


Monday, April 20, 2020

vendor payment


Economic Times has reported that large companies are planning to defer their payments to suppliers because of tight liquidity positions caused by the Covid-19 lockdown. For example, Tata Steel may delay payments by 45 days and Asian Paints by 30 days. Both these companies are respectable leaders in their respective industry. We view this development with concern for several reasons.
There is no doubt that these are difficult times for all business units. Every company has to try to solve its problems as much as possible without shifting the problems to other stakeholders. Let us now see if companies like Tata Steel and Asian Paints can mitigate their liquidity travails without endangering the liquidity of their vendors.
These companies are valuable customers for their banks. Credit Risk posed by them to the banks is the least. When banks are having surplus funds for lending, their customers of choice will be the likes of Asian Paints with creditable credit history. Banks are now sitting on a mountain of liquidity. As on April 15, the funds placed in Reverse Repo amount to Rs.6.9 lakh crore. This has even resulted in RBI reducing the Reverse Repo Rate from 4% to 3.75% on April 17 sending a clear signal to banks that they must lend more and depend less on depositing money with RBI.
Companies with good track record must make use of their easy access to banks and borrow more. This will create a win-win situation for both the lender and the borrower. The benefit for the banks will be the opportunity to lend to better-rated customers with potential for easier and timely recovery. Logically banks will treat this as a heaven-sent blessing. These large companies will also be able to retain the goodwill of their vendors who will respect the companies for standing by them even in perilous circumstances. This will ensure seamless movement of funds from banks to large companies and from these companies to  vendors many of whom are MSMEs. If this flow of funds does not happen, MSMEs which are already in dire straits will be forced to approach their banks for enhanced loans. The ground reality is that banks are more hesitant to increase their exposure to units whose credit history is already dented by adverse economic circumstances.
There is a long benign chain effect in the process. Vendors who are promptly paid by these large companies will be in a position to service their suppliers in time and the chain goes on.
An additional benefit the banks can reap in the process is the requirement to monitor a few well-maintained accounts instead of spending sleepless nights involved in dealing with too many customers. The consequent round of benefits accrues to the bankers of these vendors as the latter will be in a position to honour their bank dues on time. There are many instances where the banker to a large company is also the banker its vendors.
Tough times do not necessarily call for tough decisions. Postponing payments to vendors is a tough decision which will have snowballing  adverse impact on the economy. If banks and their large corporate customers get their act together and quickly exploit the opportunity to facilitate purposeful cashflows without taking undue risk, they will ensure their health apart from playing a productive part in sustaining the economy.
Supply Chain Management and Channel Financing: Extended lockdowns are a threat to sustenance of supply chain. Disruption of cashflows in any part of the chain will have its inexorable negative impact on the entire chain thereby posing a logistics problem. Success of channel financing depends not only on the willingness of the banker to lend to the channel partners  but also on the readiness of the manufacturer to come to the rescue of any entity in the supply chain who may be facing liquidity constraints. It is hoped that large companies and their banks will rise to the occasion and thereby quicken the economic recovery process.

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Habitual ridicule

A newspaper is read for getting information on what is happening, comments on events and also for humorous takes on current events. Thus the newspaper has to inform, shape opinions and entertain. Most importantly, these responsibilities have to be performed with diligence and decorum.

Relentless ridicule of what the government is doing without taking into account the totality of government's purpose and action falls far short of the requirements of both diligence and decorum. You may have guessed what I am coming to.

If you continue to be a reader of The Hindu despite its partial ideological views, chances are that you would have noticed with dismay the consistently irresponsible and indecorous comments made by Mr. G.Sampath, Social Affairs Editor, The Hindu under "Allegedly" columns every Sunday.

The Editor is unable to write any piece without making snide references to prime minister's actions. The writings drip with base sarcasm which the author apparently mistakes for humour. For example, read the following which appears today:

"Yes, I'm talking about Phase III of the battle against the virus. It's simple: you donate your next 10 months' salary to PM CARE, a fund set up specifically to enable every Indian to demonstrate how much they care for the PM. In case you are unemployed and therefore unable to donate salary, don't panic. You can donate one finger a month for 10 months. This collective show of love and loyalty to the PM, modelled on the highly effective practices of the Yakuza - Japan ------------"

Yakuza is a criminal syndicate in Japan. It is unbelievable that a newspaper compares PM CARES FUND with Yakuza. Mr.Sampath does not seem to know it is PM CARES and not PM CARE. CARES is an acronym for "Citizens Assistance and Relief in Emergency Situations" (Fund).

Mr.Sampath is not the only one in The Hindu engaging in mindless criticism of the government and the prime minister. Ms.Vaishna Roy's 'Speech Melba' every Saturday is of  similar sinister genre.