Sunday, March 18, 2018

Rejuvenated Congress and Debilitated BJP

"A week is a long time in politics" said Harold Wilson who was prime minister of U.K. twice. Four years is a substantially long period. It is now almost four years since India rejected UPA and particularly the Congress as unfit to govern the country.

In 2014, corruption as an issue was occupying centre-stage. BJP whipped up the issue with characteristic adroitness and the voters rewarded it handsomely. After a long time, we vested a party with majority in the Lok Sabha so that it could focus on governance without being handicapped by what Manmohan Singh spuriously called as 'coalition dharma'.

Political scenario has undergone a drastic change in the recent past. Opposition parties excluding the Congress and communists have become more upbeat in the aftermath of shock defeats of BJP candidates in Lok Sabha by-elections in U.P. and Bihar. It is true that Narendra Modi did not canvass in these by-elections. But if the overwhelming and enthusiastic support of voters as it existed in 2014 for Narendra Modi had not dissipated, these shock defeats would not have occurred.

Congress has nothing to gloat over its continuing dismal performance in elections. When disenchantment with BJP and Narendra Modi is gaining impetus, a national party like Congress should start making hay. (Some sceptics may argue that Congress is no longer a national party. This argument is a bit premature. Congress is even now salvageable.)

It is a no-brainer that Congress cannot muster majority on its own in the Lok Sabha in the near future. At best, it can be one of the parties forming a possible coalition in the centre post-2019. For this to happen, two crucial requirements must be met.

It is very likely that BJP will continue to be the largest single party in the lower house of parliament. Since BJP is an assertive party causing constant discomfort to its adversaries, opposition to BJP is virulent. Virulent splintered parties are not a threat to BJP. But a combined opposition would be, like what was seen in the recent by-elections. So the first condition is continued unity among opposition parties.

Congress continues to be treated as a liability by other parties. If Congress wants to become acceptable to other parties and more importantly to voters, it has to get rid of proven corrupt leaders forthwith. In addition, the Gandhi family must cease to dominate. Dumping corrupt leaders and non-glorification of a particular family are the second requirement.

No comments: