Sunday, February 15, 2015

Delhi Shock

Arvind Muffler has produced the Delhi Shock the gravity of which was not anticipated even by political pundits. Winning 67 out of 70 assembly seats is a typical Black Swan event. It is also a wake-up call to Narendra Modi and Amit Shah emphasising the reality that no one has mastered the electoral arithmetic of democratic India.

Delhi is geographically small, but politically large. Modi could have viewed the exit polls with grace. On the contrary, he arrogantly dismissed them as 'lies'. In a way, he was right. The exit polls indicated only 45 to 50 seats for Aam Aadmi whereas the party snatched as many as 67 seats.

Present indications are that Arvind Kejriwal has become a seasoned politician and is more likely to adopt pragmatic policies rather than rabble rousing polemics. It will be interesting to watch how these results alter Modi's tactics. Will he become more or less of a reformer?

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